56 published forecasts with recorded market comparisons. Injury and weather factors appear with each matchup.
Player availability and weather factors for the published forecasts, with dated sources.
Delaware’s October 26 preview says Nick Minicucci returned after missing two games through injury and threw five touchdowns against Missouri State. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–1 mph, 60–71°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
The Sun Belt’s October 26 initial report lists Troy quarterback Goose Crowder probable; James Madison quarterback Tanner Vibabul doubtful. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–1 mph, 53–65°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Baylor announced October 25 that Dave Aranda was relieved of his duties. Defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman is interim head coach for the rest of the season. UCF’s October 26 update identifies Keyone Jenkins as the quarterback who threw for 293 yards and accounted for four touchdowns in the win over BYU. This dated performance is separate from Friday’s availability report. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph, precipitation chance up to 20%, 73–79°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
California used Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele for 37 pass attempts on October 24, after Jackson Brousseau led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NC State announced October 24 that Dave Doeren was relieved of his duties and Todd Goebbel will serve as interim head coach for the rest of the season. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5–6 mph, 70–75°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Iowa’s October 26 notes describe an ongoing Hank Brown–Jeremy Hecklinski competition after both played against Minnesota. Hecklinski started the last two games; Brown threw 21 passes and Hecklinski 16 on October 24. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, a thunderstorm chance, 64–70°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Syracuse’s October 26 preview says Steve Angeli will be back under center against SMU after returning in the win at North Carolina.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Illinois’ October 26 preview says Katin Houser will miss an extended period with a broken hand. Michael Clayton II led the passing in the win over Oregon. Maryland will play its first game under interim head coach Aazaar Abdul-Rahim. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, 66–70°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 27 (ET)
Michigan’s October 26 notes confirm Tommy Carr made his first career start against Indiana, completing 20 of 32 passes. The reviewed notes do not announce Michigan’s starter against Rutgers. Rutgers used AJ Surace for 18 pass attempts on October 24, after Dylan Lonergan led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0 mph, 62–68°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Pete Golding said October 26 that running back Kewan Lacy will miss the Auburn game after dislocating his shoulder against Texas. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, 70–75°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Old Dominion used Jaxon Potter for 34 pass attempts on October 24, after Ryan Huff led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 8 mph, 69–70°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Kansas State’s October 26 press conference calls Avery Johnson day-to-day and says Jacob Knuth is managing an ankle issue. Coach Collin Klein said he did not yet know who would take the first snap at Colorado. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–3 mph, 59–64°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Georgia State’s October 24 recap identifies Ayden Pereira as its passing leader against Arkansas State, following Cameran Brown’s heavier passing workload in the previous game. A Week 9 starter is not confirmed in the reviewed sources. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, gusts up to 18 mph, 73–75°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
East Carolina used Mitch Griffis for 26 pass attempts on October 22, after Emory Williams led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 7–8 mph, 74–77°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, precipitation chance up to 30%, a thunderstorm chance, 79–80°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Air Force’s October 26 notes say Evan Medders left the Wyoming game injured. Howard Fisher IV then recorded a career-high seven pass attempts. The reviewed notes do not confirm Air Force’s quarterback role against UConn. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, gusts up to 17 mph, 59–61°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Dan Lanning said October 26 that Dante Moore is not expected to return this season. Jay Johnson will coordinate Oregon’s offense after Drew Mehringer’s dismissal. The reviewed announcement does not name Oregon’s Week 9 starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 22%, 48–54°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 27 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 60%, 57–59°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Colorado State’s October 26 update discusses both Hauss Hejny and K’saan Farrar. Hejny threw all 31 team pass attempts against San Diego State after Farrar led the previous game’s passing. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1 mph, precipitation chance up to 80%, 51–53°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 52%, a thunderstorm chance, 76–80°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 27 (ET)
Florida’s October 26 update says Aaron Philo has returned to practice after a shoulder injury and is sharing reps with Tramell Jones Jr. Florida’s starter against Georgia will be named later in the week, according to Jon Sumrall.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Indiana’s October 26 press conference acknowledges Josh Hoover played hurt at Michigan. Curt Cignetti expects him to be better this week; that expectation is separate from a game-day availability report. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–5 mph, 68–72°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
San Jose State used Robert McDaniel for 13 pass attempts on October 24, after Daniel Rolovich led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–3 mph, 60–61°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Nevada’s October 24 recap confirms Luke Duncan made his second start of the season against San José State, throwing 29 passes after AJ Bianco led the prior game. That participation does not confirm Nevada’s starter at UCLA. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 47%, 62–64°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Iowa State’s October 24 recap says Connor Moberly replaced Jaylen Raynor to start the second half at Arizona. The reviewed sources do not establish Iowa State’s starter against Oklahoma State. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, 61–67°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 5–10 mph, precipitation chance up to 51%, 65–67°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Pitt’s October 26 coaching update says Holden Geriner remains its quarterback. Geriner started at Miami and threw for 268 yards; Corey Dailey also played. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, 55–65°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 0 mph, a thunderstorm chance, 72–81°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 50%, 63–69°F.
Player source ↗Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Published model predictions alongside the recorded market line.
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Quarterback context Delaware’s October 26 preview says Nick Minicucci returned after missing two games through injury and threw five touchdowns against Missouri State. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–1 mph, 60–71°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context The Sun Belt’s October 26 initial report lists Troy quarterback Goose Crowder probable; James Madison quarterback Tanner Vibabul doubtful. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0–1 mph, 53–65°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Quarterback context · Wind Baylor announced October 25 that Dave Aranda was relieved of his duties. Defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman is interim head coach for the rest of the season. UCF’s October 26 update identifies Keyone Jenkins as the quarterback who threw for 293 yards and accounted for four touchdowns in the win over BYU. This dated performance is separate from Friday’s availability report. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10–15 mph, gusts up to 23 mph, precipitation chance up to 20%, 73–79°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Syracuse’s October 26 preview says Steve Angeli will be back under center against SMU after returning in the win at North Carolina. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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SFQuarterback context · Rain / thunderstorm chance Iowa’s October 26 notes describe an ongoing Hank Brown–Jeremy Hecklinski competition after both played against Minnesota. Hecklinski started the last two games; Brown threw 21 passes and Hecklinski 16 on October 24. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, a thunderstorm chance, 64–70°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Quarterback context · Rain / thunderstorm chance Iowa’s October 26 notes describe an ongoing Hank Brown–Jeremy Hecklinski competition after both played against Minnesota. Hecklinski started the last two games; Brown threw 21 passes and Hecklinski 16 on October 24. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, a thunderstorm chance, 64–70°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Quarterback context Michigan’s October 26 notes confirm Tommy Carr made his first career start against Indiana, completing 20 of 32 passes. The reviewed notes do not announce Michigan’s starter against Rutgers. Rutgers used AJ Surace for 18 pass attempts on October 24, after Dylan Lonergan led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 0 mph, 62–68°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Personnel context Pete Golding said October 26 that running back Kewan Lacy will miss the Auburn game after dislocating his shoulder against Texas. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, 70–75°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Old Dominion used Jaxon Potter for 34 pass attempts on October 24, after Ryan Huff led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 8 mph, 69–70°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
ODQuarterback context Old Dominion used Jaxon Potter for 34 pass attempts on October 24, after Ryan Huff led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 8 mph, 69–70°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Georgia State’s October 24 recap identifies Ayden Pereira as its passing leader against Arkansas State, following Cameran Brown’s heavier passing workload in the previous game. A Week 9 starter is not confirmed in the reviewed sources. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, gusts up to 18 mph, 73–75°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Kansas State’s October 26 press conference calls Avery Johnson day-to-day and says Jacob Knuth is managing an ankle issue. Coach Collin Klein said he did not yet know who would take the first snap at Colorado. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–3 mph, 59–64°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
CQuarterback context Kansas State’s October 26 press conference calls Avery Johnson day-to-day and says Jacob Knuth is managing an ankle issue. Coach Collin Klein said he did not yet know who would take the first snap at Colorado. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–3 mph, 59–64°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context East Carolina used Mitch Griffis for 26 pass attempts on October 22, after Emory Williams led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 7–8 mph, 74–77°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Quarterback context Air Force’s October 26 notes say Evan Medders left the Wyoming game injured. Howard Fisher IV then recorded a career-high seven pass attempts. The reviewed notes do not confirm Air Force’s quarterback role against UConn. NWS game-window forecast: wind 10 mph, gusts up to 17 mph, 59–61°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Rain / thunderstorm chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 3 mph, precipitation chance up to 60%, 57–59°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context · Rain / thunderstorm chance Colorado State’s October 26 update discusses both Hauss Hejny and K’saan Farrar. Hejny threw all 31 team pass attempts against San Diego State after Farrar led the previous game’s passing. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1 mph, precipitation chance up to 80%, 51–53°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Quarterback context Florida’s October 26 update says Aaron Philo has returned to practice after a shoulder injury and is sharing reps with Tramell Jones Jr. Florida’s starter against Georgia will be named later in the week, according to Jon Sumrall. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Indiana’s October 26 press conference acknowledges Josh Hoover played hurt at Michigan. Curt Cignetti expects him to be better this week; that expectation is separate from a game-day availability report. NWS game-window forecast: wind 2–5 mph, 68–72°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Dan Lanning said October 26 that Dante Moore is not expected to return this season. Jay Johnson will coordinate Oregon’s offense after Drew Mehringer’s dismissal. The reviewed announcement does not name Oregon’s Week 9 starter. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 22%, 48–54°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 27 (ET)
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Rain / thunderstorm chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 52%, a thunderstorm chance, 76–80°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 27 (ET)
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Quarterback context San Jose State used Robert McDaniel for 13 pass attempts on October 24, after Daniel Rolovich led its previous game. That participation does not confirm the Week 9 starter or availability. NWS game-window forecast: wind 1–3 mph, 60–61°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
Quarterback context Nevada’s October 24 recap confirms Luke Duncan made his second start of the season against San José State, throwing 29 passes after AJ Bianco led the prior game. That participation does not confirm Nevada’s starter at UCLA. NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 47%, 62–64°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Quarterback context Iowa State’s October 24 recap says Connor Moberly replaced Jaylen Raynor to start the second half at Arizona. The reviewed sources do not establish Iowa State’s starter against Oklahoma State. NWS game-window forecast: wind 3–5 mph, precipitation chance up to 37%, 61–67°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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Rain / thunderstorm chance NWS game-window forecast: wind 5 mph, precipitation chance up to 50%, 63–69°F. Player source ↗ Weather ↗Context updated October 26 (ET)
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FSThe six closest FBS forecasts by projected margin.
| Game | Watch team | Matrix margin | Observed spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss at UL Monroe | UL Monroe | 0.47 | UL Monroe +3.5 |
| Baylor at UCF | Baylor | 1.25 | Baylor +1.5 |
| Clemson at Florida State | Clemson | 1.89 | Clemson +6 |
| Army at Memphis | Army | 2.33 | Army +6 |
| Oregon State at Fresno State | Fresno State | 2.51 | Fresno State +5.5 |
| Florida Atlantic at North Texas | Florida Atlantic | 2.81 | Florida Atlantic +13.5 |
Published spread predictions with dated market observations. Started games retain their original pregame quotes.
| Rank | Game | Comparison | Matrix | Observed market | Gap | Confidence | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | NNorthwestern at Oregon2026-10-31 | Oregon -3.5 | Oregon -17.1 | Oregon -3.5 | 13.6 | High | Lab → |
| #2 | T Tulane at Charlotte2026-10-30 | Tulane -10 | Tulane -22.2 | Tulane -10.0 | 12.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #3 | CCCoastal Carolina at Georgia State2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Coastal Carolina +6.5 | Coastal Carolina -4.6 | Georgia State -6.5 | 11.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #4 | PPurdue at Penn State2026-10-31 | Penn State -7.5 | Penn State -18.5 | Penn State -7.5 | 11.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #5 | FAFlorida Atlantic at North Texas2026-10-29 | Florida Atlantic +13.5 | North Texas -2.8 | North Texas -13.5 | 10.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #6 | TTroy at James Madison2026-10-29 | Troy +21 | James Madison -11.4 | James Madison -21.0 | 9.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #7 | KSKennesaw State at Middle Tennessee2026-10-28 · FAVORITE FLIP | Kennesaw State +2.5 | Kennesaw State -7.0 | Middle Tennessee -2.5 | 9.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #8 | OSOhio State at USC2026-10-31 | Ohio State -6.5 | Ohio State -15.5 | Ohio State -6.5 | 9.0 | High | Lab → |
| #9 | OSOregon State at Fresno State2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Fresno State +5.5 | Fresno State -2.5 | Oregon State -5.5 | 8.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #10 | UUAB at South Florida2026-10-31 | South Florida -8.5 | South Florida -15.6 | South Florida -8.5 | 7.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #11 | U UConn at Air Force2026-10-31 | Air Force -2.5 | Air Force -9.5 | Air Force -2.5 | 7.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #12 | DDelaware at Western Kentucky2026-10-27 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | Western Kentucky -8.2 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | 6.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #13 | TSTexas State at Boise State2026-10-31 | Boise State -11.5 | Boise State -17.8 | Boise State -11.5 | 6.3 | High | Lab → |
| #14 | AArizona at Texas Tech2026-10-31 | Texas Tech -3.5 | Texas Tech -9.3 | Texas Tech -3.5 | 5.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #15 | MMarshall at Old Dominion2026-10-31 · FAVORITE FLIP | Old Dominion +2.5 | Old Dominion -3.2 | Marshall -2.5 | 5.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #16 | W Wisconsin at Iowa2026-10-31 | Iowa -3.5 | Iowa -8.8 | Iowa -3.5 | 5.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #17 | NINorthern Illinois at UNLV2026-10-31 | UNLV -23.5 | UNLV -28.7 | UNLV -23.5 | 5.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #18 | VVirginia at Wake Forest2026-10-31 | Virginia +12.5 | Wake Forest -7.7 | Wake Forest -12.5 | 4.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #19 | A Auburn at Ole Miss2026-10-31 | Auburn +13.5 | Ole Miss -8.7 | Ole Miss -13.5 | 4.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #20 | KSKent State at Sacramento State2026-10-30 | Sacramento State +10 | Kent State -5.3 | Kent State -10.0 | 4.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #21 | KSKansas State at Colorado2026-10-31 | Kansas State -2.5 | Kansas State -6.6 | Kansas State -2.5 | 4.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #22 | CClemson at Florida State2026-10-31 | Clemson +6 | Florida State -1.9 | Florida State -6.0 | 4.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #23 | A Army at Memphis2026-10-31 | Army +6 | Memphis -2.3 | Memphis -6.0 | 3.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #24 | WWashington at Nebraska2026-10-31 | Washington +7.5 | Nebraska -4.1 | Nebraska -7.5 | 3.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #25 | ASArizona State at BYU2026-10-31 | Arizona State +16.5 | BYU -13.2 | BYU -16.5 | 3.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #26 | SMSouthern Miss at UL Monroe2026-10-31 | UL Monroe +3.5 | Southern Miss -0.5 | Southern Miss -3.5 | 3.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #27 | SStanford at Louisville2026-10-31 | Stanford +22.5 | Louisville -19.5 | Louisville -22.5 | 3.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #28 | M(Miami (FL) at North Carolina2026-10-31 | Miami (FL) -14.5 | Miami (FL) -17.3 | Miami (FL) -14.5 | 2.8 | High | Lab → |
| #29 | NMNew Mexico at San Jose State2026-10-31 | New Mexico -14.5 | New Mexico -17.3 | New Mexico -14.5 | 2.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #30 | BG Bowling Green at Western Michigan2026-10-31 | Bowling Green +13.5 | Western Michigan -10.8 | Western Michigan -13.5 | 2.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #31 | M Missouri at Arkansas2026-10-31 | Arkansas +10 | Missouri -7.4 | Missouri -10.0 | 2.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #32 | WS Washington State at San Diego State2026-10-31 | San Diego State -2.5 | San Diego State -5.1 | San Diego State -2.5 | 2.6 | Low | Lab → |
| #33 | JS Jacksonville State at New Mexico State2026-10-28 | Jacksonville State -3.5 | Jacksonville State -6.0 | Jacksonville State -3.5 | 2.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #34 | K Kansas at TCU2026-10-31 | TCU -6 | TCU -8.4 | TCU -6.0 | 2.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #35 | I Illinois at Maryland2026-10-31 | Illinois -2.5 | Illinois -4.3 | Illinois -2.5 | 1.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #36 | LT Louisiana Tech at South Alabama2026-10-31 | South Alabama +5.5 | Louisiana Tech -3.7 | Louisiana Tech -5.5 | 1.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #37 | GT Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh2026-10-31 | Georgia Tech +7.5 | Pittsburgh -5.7 | Pittsburgh -7.5 | 1.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #38 | ND Notre Dame at Navy2026-10-31 | Navy +30.5 | Notre Dame -29.0 | Notre Dame -30.5 | 1.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #39 | TTemple at East Carolina2026-10-31 | East Carolina -6 | East Carolina -7.4 | East Carolina -6.0 | 1.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #40 | CSColorado State at Utah State2026-10-31 | Colorado State +6.5 | Utah State -5.2 | Utah State -6.5 | 1.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #41 | SH Sam Houston at Missouri State2026-10-27 | Missouri State -5.5 | Missouri State -6.8 | Missouri State -5.5 | 1.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #42 | M Michigan at Rutgers2026-10-31 | Rutgers +14 | Michigan -12.8 | Michigan -14.0 | 1.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #43 | BCBoston College at Duke2026-10-31 | Duke -7 | Duke -8.1 | Duke -7.0 | 1.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #44 | F Florida at Georgia2026-10-31 | Florida +11.5 | Georgia -10.5 | Georgia -11.5 | 1.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #45 | AS Appalachian State at Georgia Southern2026-10-31 | Georgia Southern -5.5 | Georgia Southern -6.4 | Georgia Southern -5.5 | 0.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #46 | S SMU at Syracuse2026-10-31 | Syracuse +10 | SMU -9.2 | SMU -10.0 | 0.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #47 | MS Mississippi State at Texas2026-10-31 | Mississippi State +21 | Texas -20.4 | Texas -21.0 | 0.6 | High | Lab → |
| #48 | OSOklahoma State at Iowa State2026-10-31 | Oklahoma State -8.5 | Oklahoma State -9.0 | Oklahoma State -8.5 | 0.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #49 | SC South Carolina at Oklahoma2026-10-31 | Oklahoma -5.5 | Oklahoma -5.8 | Oklahoma -5.5 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #50 | UUTEP at North Dakota State2026-10-31 | UTEP +25.5 | North Dakota State -25.2 | North Dakota State -25.5 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #51 | FIFlorida International at Liberty2026-10-31 | Florida International +14 | Liberty -13.7 | Liberty -14.0 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #52 | B Baylor at UCF2026-10-30 | Baylor +1.5 | UCF -1.3 | UCF -1.5 | 0.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #53 | C California at NC State2026-10-31 | NC State -7 | NC State -7.1 | NC State -7.0 | 0.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #54 | N Nevada at UCLA2026-10-31 | UCLA -22.5 | UCLA -22.6 | UCLA -22.5 | 0.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #55 | U Utah at Cincinnati2026-10-31 | Cincinnati +6.5 | Utah -6.5 | Utah -6.5 | 0.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #56 | M Minnesota at Indiana2026-10-31 | Indiana -20.5 | Indiana -20.5 | Indiana -20.5 | 0.0 | High | Lab → |
Published total predictions with dated market observations. Started games retain their original pregame quotes.
| Rank | Game | Comparison | Matrix | Observed market | Gap | Confidence | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | FAFlorida Atlantic at North Texas2026-10-29 | UNDER 77.5 | 62.0 | O/U 77.5 | 15.5 | Low | Lab → |
| #2 | UUAB at South Florida2026-10-31 | OVER 42.5 | 57.7 | O/U 42.5 | 15.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #3 | OSOregon State at Fresno State2026-10-31 | UNDER 58.5 | 44.9 | O/U 58.5 | 13.6 | Low | Lab → |
| #4 | CSColorado State at Utah State2026-10-31 | UNDER 63.5 | 50.8 | O/U 63.5 | 12.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #5 | SStanford at Louisville2026-10-31 | UNDER 61.5 | 49.2 | O/U 61.5 | 12.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #6 | FIFlorida International at Liberty2026-10-31 | OVER 45.5 | 57.2 | O/U 45.5 | 11.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #7 | NMNew Mexico at San Jose State2026-10-31 | OVER 41.5 | 51.9 | O/U 41.5 | 10.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #8 | BCBoston College at Duke2026-10-31 | OVER 47.5 | 57.1 | O/U 47.5 | 9.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #9 | MMarshall at Old Dominion2026-10-31 | OVER 45.5 | 54.9 | O/U 45.5 | 9.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #10 | OSOklahoma State at Iowa State2026-10-31 | UNDER 57.5 | 49.3 | O/U 57.5 | 8.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #11 | KKansas at TCU2026-10-31 | OVER 46.5 | 54.1 | O/U 46.5 | 7.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #12 | SSMU at Syracuse2026-10-31 | UNDER 58.5 | 51.0 | O/U 58.5 | 7.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #13 | NNevada at UCLA2026-10-31 | OVER 44.5 | 51.7 | O/U 44.5 | 7.2 | Low | Lab → |
| #14 | MMissouri at Arkansas2026-10-31 | OVER 49.5 | 56.6 | O/U 49.5 | 7.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #15 | MMichigan at Rutgers2026-10-31 | OVER 46.5 | 52.9 | O/U 46.5 | 6.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #16 | KSKansas State at Colorado2026-10-31 | OVER 47.5 | 53.7 | O/U 47.5 | 6.2 | Medium | Lab → |
| #17 | BBaylor at UCF2026-10-30 | OVER 47.5 | 53.4 | O/U 47.5 | 5.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #18 | FFlorida at Georgia2026-10-31 | UNDER 55.5 | 49.6 | O/U 55.5 | 5.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #19 | UUTEP at North Dakota State2026-10-31 | OVER 43.5 | 49.2 | O/U 43.5 | 5.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #20 | TTulane at Charlotte2026-10-30 | OVER 46.5 | 52.2 | O/U 46.5 | 5.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #21 | M(Miami (FL) at North Carolina2026-10-31 | UNDER 52.5 | 46.8 | O/U 52.5 | 5.7 | High | Lab → |
| #22 | MMinnesota at Indiana2026-10-31 | OVER 42.5 | 48.1 | O/U 42.5 | 5.6 | High | Lab → |
| #23 | KSKent State at Sacramento State2026-10-30 | OVER 46.5 | 52.0 | O/U 46.5 | 5.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #24 | TTemple at East Carolina2026-10-31 | OVER 49.5 | 54.9 | O/U 49.5 | 5.4 | Low | Lab → |
| #25 | WWisconsin at Iowa2026-10-31 | OVER 36.5 | 41.8 | O/U 36.5 | 5.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #26 | AAuburn at Ole Miss2026-10-31 | UNDER 57.5 | 52.8 | O/U 57.5 | 4.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #27 | MSMississippi State at Texas2026-10-31 | OVER 50.5 | 55.2 | O/U 50.5 | 4.7 | High | Lab → |
| #28 | JSJacksonville State at New Mexico State2026-10-28 | OVER 49.5 | 54.0 | O/U 49.5 | 4.5 | Medium | Lab → |
| #29 | AArmy at Memphis2026-10-31 | UNDER 59.5 | 55.7 | O/U 59.5 | 3.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #30 | VVirginia at Wake Forest2026-10-31 | UNDER 49.5 | 45.8 | O/U 49.5 | 3.7 | Medium | Lab → |
| #31 | WSWashington State at San Diego State2026-10-31 | UNDER 48.5 | 45.2 | O/U 48.5 | 3.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #32 | TTroy at James Madison2026-10-29 | OVER 49.5 | 52.6 | O/U 49.5 | 3.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #33 | AArizona at Texas Tech2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 51.5 | O/U 54.5 | 3.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #34 | SHSam Houston at Missouri State2026-10-27 | OVER 50.5 | 53.3 | O/U 50.5 | 2.8 | Low | Lab → |
| #35 | IIllinois at Maryland2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 51.7 | O/U 54.5 | 2.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #36 | SCSouth Carolina at Oklahoma2026-10-31 | OVER 44.5 | 47.1 | O/U 44.5 | 2.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #37 | PPurdue at Penn State2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 51.9 | O/U 54.5 | 2.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #38 | OSOhio State at USC2026-10-31 | OVER 51.5 | 53.9 | O/U 51.5 | 2.4 | High | Lab → |
| #39 | CClemson at Florida State2026-10-31 | UNDER 49.5 | 47.4 | O/U 49.5 | 2.1 | Low | Lab → |
| #40 | ASArizona State at BYU2026-10-31 | OVER 48.5 | 50.4 | O/U 48.5 | 1.9 | Medium | Lab → |
| #41 | BGBowling Green at Western Michigan2026-10-31 | UNDER 44.5 | 42.7 | O/U 44.5 | 1.8 | Medium | Lab → |
| #42 | LTLouisiana Tech at South Alabama2026-10-31 | UNDER 57.5 | 55.8 | O/U 57.5 | 1.7 | Low | Lab → |
| #43 | DDelaware at Western Kentucky2026-10-27 | OVER 57.5 | 59.1 | O/U 57.5 | 1.6 | Medium | Lab → |
| #44 | ASAppalachian State at Georgia Southern2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 55.1 | O/U 56.5 | 1.4 | Medium | Lab → |
| #45 | NNorthwestern at Oregon2026-10-31 | OVER 47.5 | 48.9 | O/U 47.5 | 1.4 | High | Lab → |
| #46 | KSKennesaw State at Middle Tennessee2026-10-28 | OVER 51.5 | 52.8 | O/U 51.5 | 1.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #47 | SMSouthern Miss at UL Monroe2026-10-31 | UNDER 55.5 | 54.5 | O/U 55.5 | 1.0 | Low | Lab → |
| #48 | GTGeorgia Tech at Pittsburgh2026-10-31 | UNDER 54.5 | 53.5 | O/U 54.5 | 1.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #49 | UUtah at Cincinnati2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 55.5 | O/U 56.5 | 1.0 | Medium | Lab → |
| #50 | NINorthern Illinois at UNLV2026-10-31 | UNDER 53.5 | 52.6 | O/U 53.5 | 0.9 | Low | Lab → |
| #51 | TSTexas State at Boise State2026-10-31 | UNDER 63.5 | 63.0 | O/U 63.5 | 0.5 | High | Lab → |
| #52 | CCCoastal Carolina at Georgia State2026-10-31 | OVER 57.5 | 57.8 | O/U 57.5 | 0.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #53 | WWashington at Nebraska2026-10-31 | OVER 49.5 | 49.8 | O/U 49.5 | 0.3 | Medium | Lab → |
| #54 | UUConn at Air Force2026-10-31 | UNDER 53.5 | 53.2 | O/U 53.5 | 0.3 | Low | Lab → |
| #55 | NDNotre Dame at Navy2026-10-31 | OVER 55.5 | 55.6 | O/U 55.5 | 0.1 | Medium | Lab → |
| #56 | CCalifornia at NC State2026-10-31 | UNDER 56.5 | 56.5 | O/U 56.5 | 0.0 | Medium | Lab → |
Week 9 combinations from published Matrix forecasts and exact recorded quotes.
Recorded quotes, not a live sportsbook feed. Confirm final availability, weather and prices before kickoff.
Change the example stake to update every return below.
Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw estimates, assuming independent games. These are not validated ticket hit rates and are not adjusted for the latest injuries or weather.
Ticket estimate: 39.2%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 31.73%.
Raw model gap 11.0 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 9.0 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 8.0 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw estimates, assuming independent games. These are not validated ticket hit rates and are not adjusted for the latest injuries or weather.
Ticket estimate: 29.5%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 23.34%.
Raw model gap 7.1 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 6.3 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Raw model gap 5.8 points at the recorded quote.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Before kickoff Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw estimates, assuming independent games. These are not validated ticket hit rates and are not adjusted for the latest injuries or weather.
Ticket estimate: 12.42%. Reducing each leg by five percentage points lowers it to 9.03%.
Raw outright probability 56.7%.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Raw outright probability 48.7%.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Raw outright probability 45.0%.
See dated player and game-window weather context. Quotes can move.
Team / availability source ↗Both extensions repeat the core three upsets. Adding teams raises the payout and lowers the chance of a clean ticket.
Week 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw independent hit estimate: 5.44% · unadjustedWeek 9 model and exact October 26 recorded quotes.
Quotes can move; actual placed stakes are unknown.
Raw independent hit estimate: 2.19% · unadjustedRaw independent-leg model probabilities, without correlation or invented personnel/weather adjustments.
Hypothetical gross returns; no actual placed stakes or realized profit supplied.
Tickets overlap: the four- and five-team variants include the same three core moneyline picks. Returns describe separate tickets, not independent portfolio outcomes.
Recorded quote source ↗
