Big Ten Conference Intelligence

Current MPR LeaderOhio StateNational #1 · MPR 32.8

Projected Wins LeaderOhio State10.37 expected wins

Conference Avg MPR11.418-team current average

National Top 258By current MPR rank

Week 0 Reviews10 cleared update gate

Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.

RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move

#1 OS Ohio StateNational #1 · 0-0 32.8MPR 10.37Proj Wins #10SOS 63%Title Game* —

#2 O OregonNational #2 · 0-0 29.2MPR 10.31Proj Wins #18SOS 55%Title Game* —

#3 I IndianaNational #5 · 0-0 25.8MPR 10.11Proj Wins #41SOS 42%Title Game* —

#4 U USCNational #11 · 1-0 17.9MPR 7.92Proj Wins #16SOS 4%Title Game* —

#5 M MichiganNational #15 · 0-0 16.7MPR 7.60Proj Wins #7SOS 4%Title Game* —

#6 PS Penn StateNational #17 · 0-0 16.1MPR 9.18Proj Wins #58SOS 19%Title Game* —

#7 W WashingtonNational #19 · 0-0 15.2MPR 7.90Proj Wins #27SOS 4%Title Game* —

#8 I IowaNational #22 · 0-0 12.9MPR 7.81Proj Wins #39SOS 4%Title Game* —

#9 I IllinoisNational #34 · 0-0 9.6MPR 7.12Proj Wins #33SOS 2%Title Game* —

#10 N NebraskaNational #38 · 0-0 8.5MPR 6.16Proj Wins #22SOS 0%Title Game* —

#11 U UCLANational #44 · 0-0 5.7MPR 6.14Proj Wins #34SOS 1%Title Game* —

#11 M MinnesotaNational #44 · 0-0 5.7MPR 6.05Proj Wins #42SOS 0%Title Game* —

#13 N NorthwesternNational #48 · 0-0 4.8MPR 5.09Proj Wins #17SOS 0%Title Game* —

#14 M MarylandNational #50 · 0-0 4.3MPR 5.79Proj Wins #37SOS 0%Title Game* —

#15 W WisconsinNational #60 · 0-0 2.0MPR 5.32Proj Wins #50SOS 0%Title Game* —

#16 R RutgersNational #64 · 0-0 1.5MPR 5.25Proj Wins #57SOS 0%Title Game* —

#17 MS Michigan StateNational #68 · 0-0 -0.4MPR 4.19Proj Wins #24SOS 0%Title Game* —

#18 P PurdueNational #83 · 0-0 -3.2MPR 3.26Proj Wins #19SOS 0%Title Game* —

Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.

Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every Big Ten team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

Model Held USC

Beat San Jose State 42-26

MPR 0.0 · Projected Wins 0.00

Week 1 Locked

Big Ten Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a Big Ten team.

SUN, SEP 6High

WWisconsin

None–None

NDNotre Dame

FavoriteNotre Dame —

Projected Total46.6

SAT, SEP 5High

BSBoise State

14–39

OOregon

FavoriteOregon 95%

Projected Total53.3

SAT, SEP 5Low

UUCLA

27–27

CCalifornia

FavoriteCalifornia 51%

Projected Total54.0

SUN, SEP 6Medium

WSWashington State

12–35

WWashington

FavoriteWashington 93%

Projected Total47.3

FRI, SEP 4High

FSFresno State

14–36

UUSC

FavoriteUSC 93%

Projected Total50.5

SAT, SEP 5High

WMWestern Michigan

10–36

MMichigan

FavoriteMichigan 96%

Projected Total46.5

SAT, SEP 5Medium

SDSouth Dakota State

19–29

NNorthwestern

FavoriteNorthwestern 75%

Projected Total48.0

SAT, SEP 5High

NTNorth Texas

8–48

IIndiana

FavoriteIndiana 100%

Projected Total55.6

SAT, SEP 5Medium

MMarshall

17–42

PSPenn State

FavoritePenn State 95%

Projected Total59.2

SAT, SEP 5High

OOhio

10–34

NNebraska

FavoriteNebraska 94%

Projected Total44.4

FRI, SEP 4Low

TToledo

18–31

MSMichigan State

FavoriteMichigan State 81%

Projected Total48.4

SAT, SEP 5High

BSBall State

4–46

OSOhio State

FavoriteOhio State 100%

Projected Total49.1

THU, SEP 3Medium

UUAB

14–43

IIllinois

FavoriteIllinois 98%

Projected Total56.9

SAT, SEP 5Low

NINorthern Illinois

6–39

IIowa

FavoriteIowa 99%

Projected Total45.5

THU, SEP 3Medium

MMassachusetts

10–45

RRutgers

FavoriteRutgers 99%

Projected Total54.8

SAT, SEP 5Medium

HHampton

10–40

MMaryland

FavoriteMaryland 98%

Projected Total50.1

THU, SEP 3Medium

EIEastern Illinois

9–39

MMinnesota

FavoriteMinnesota 98%

Projected Total48.0

FRI, SEP 4Medium

ISIndiana State

14–37

PPurdue

FavoritePurdue 94%

Projected Total51.3

← All Conferences

Big Ten Matrix

Team-by-Team Outlook

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Big Ten Games on the Board