Big 12 Conference Intelligence

Current MPR LeaderTexas TechNational #7 · MPR 22.5

Projected Wins LeaderTexas Tech10.70 expected wins

Conference Avg MPR7.416-team current average

National Top 252By current MPR rank

Week 0 Reviews11 cleared update gate

Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.

RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move

#1 TT Texas TechNational #7 · 0-0 22.5MPR 10.70Proj Wins #68SOS 78%Title Game* —

#2 B BYUNational #14 · 0-0 16.8MPR 9.11Proj Wins #53SOS 48%Title Game* —

#3 U UtahNational #26 · 0-0 11.7MPR 8.29Proj Wins #52SOS 18%Title Game* —

#4 A ArizonaNational #29 · 0-0 10.9MPR 7.76Proj Wins #51SOS 9%Title Game* —

#5 KS Kansas StateNational #30 · 0-0 10.3MPR 8.28Proj Wins #65SOS 15%Title Game* —

#6 H HoustonNational #32 · 0-0 9.9MPR 7.84Proj Wins #64SOS 9%Title Game* —

#7 T TCUNational #37 · 0-1 8.7MPR 6.38Proj Wins #44SOS 6%Title Game* ▼ 1.0

#8 OS Oklahoma StateNational #39 · 0-0 8.2MPR 6.88Proj Wins #48SOS 8%Title Game* —

#9 AS Arizona StateNational #42 · 0-0 6.2MPR 5.95Proj Wins #32SOS 3%Title Game* —

#10 B BaylorNational #52 · 0-0 4.0MPR 5.75Proj Wins #45SOS 1%Title Game* —

#11 C CincinnatiNational #54 · 0-0 3.9MPR 5.63Proj Wins #35SOS 1%Title Game* —

#12 K KansasNational #57 · 0-0 3.0MPR 5.56Proj Wins #61SOS 1%Title Game* —

#13 U UCFNational #58 · 0-0 2.6MPR 5.99Proj Wins #66SOS 2%Title Game* —

#14 C ColoradoNational #66 · 0-0 0.2MPR 4.23Proj Wins #31SOS 0%Title Game* —

#15 WV West VirginiaNational #67 · 0-0 -0.1MPR 4.80Proj Wins #40SOS 0%Title Game* —

#16 IS Iowa StateNational #69 · 0-0 -0.6MPR 4.62Proj Wins #46SOS 0%Title Game* —

Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.

Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every Big 12 team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

Model Updated TCU

Lost to North Carolina 10-15

MPR -1.0 · Projected Wins -0.87

Week 1 Locked

Big 12 Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a Big 12 team.

SAT, SEP 5Medium

BBaylor

23–31

AAuburn

FavoriteAuburn 70%

Projected Total53.7

THU, SEP 3Low

CColorado

21–30

GTGeorgia Tech

FavoriteGeorgia Tech 71%

Projected Total51.3

SAT, SEP 5Medium

OSOklahoma State

34–21

TTulsa

FavoriteOklahoma State 81%

Projected Total55.1

SAT, SEP 5Medium

BCBoston College

23–31

CCincinnati

FavoriteCincinnati 70%

Projected Total54.1

SAT, SEP 5High

OSOregon State

16–35

HHouston

FavoriteHouston 89%

Projected Total50.6

SAT, SEP 5Low

CCCoastal Carolina

19–35

WVWest Virginia

FavoriteWest Virginia 86%

Projected Total53.6

SAT, SEP 5Medium

ACAbilene Christian

8–43

TTTexas Tech

FavoriteTexas Tech 99%

Projected Total51.0

SAT, SEP 5Medium

NANorthern Arizona

14–38

AArizona

FavoriteArizona 95%

Projected Total52.3

SAT, SEP 5Low

SMSoutheast Missouri State

17–32

ISIowa State

FavoriteIowa State 84%

Projected Total48.3

THU, SEP 3Medium

IIdaho

15–38

UUtah

FavoriteUtah 94%

Projected Total53.3

SAT, SEP 5Medium

NNicholls

11–44

KSKansas State

FavoriteKansas State 99%

Projected Total54.4

SAT, SEP 5Medium

UTUtah Tech

5–47

BBYU

FavoriteBYU 100%

Projected Total51.7

THU, SEP 3Medium

BBethune-Cookman

12–37

UUCF

FavoriteUCF 96%

Projected Total49.0

SAT, SEP 5Low

MSMorgan State

11–40

ASArizona State

FavoriteArizona State 97%

Projected Total50.4

FRI, SEP 4Low

LILong Island

10–43

KKansas

FavoriteKansas 99%

Projected Total53.2

← All Conferences

Big 12 Matrix

Team-by-Team Outlook

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Big 12 Games on the Board