FavoriteJames Madison 67%
Projected Total54.9
Current MPR LeaderJames MadisonNational #75 · MPR -1.7
Projected Wins LeaderJames Madison8.56 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR-11.614-team current average
National Top 250By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews00 cleared update gate
Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.
Evidence In
Week 0 Matrix Moves
Every Sun Belt team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.
No Week 0 games: no teams in this group entered the Week 0 model-review gate. Current team state remains the approved Week 1 baseline.
Week 1 Locked
Sun Belt Games on the Board
Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a Sun Belt team.
FavoritePenn State 95%
Projected Total59.2
FavoriteWest Virginia 86%
Projected Total53.6
FavoriteMississippi State 98%
Projected Total54.9
FavoriteMemphis 79%
Projected Total58.1
FavoriteLouisiana 73%
Projected Total56.1
FavoriteTroy 94%
Projected Total54.2
FavoriteSouth Alabama 59%
Projected Total55.5
FavoriteGeorgia Southern 82%
Projected Total53.8
FavoriteOld Dominion 89%
Projected Total48.3
FavoriteAppalachian State 56%
Projected Total53.4
FavoriteLouisiana Tech 83%
Projected Total52.5
FavoriteSouthern Miss 51%
Projected Total53.9
FavoriteNorth Carolina A&T 51%
Projected Total55.7