Kent State at Sacramento State
Matrix 29–23 · Kent State 63.7%
Current MPR leaderMiami (OH)National #86 · MPR -5.5
Projected wins leaderToledo8.98 expected wins
Average MPR-16.0Current neutral-field strength
MPR Top 250Teams ranked 1–25 nationally
Title favoriteWestern Michigan30.5% to win the title
Conference Headlines
Latest MAC news and movement.
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Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank follows current MPR. Records and title chances are with results through October 25.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle chancesWk MPR
-5.5MPR7.67Proj wins#125SOSReach34.8%Win20.7%-0.11 Week 8 MPR
-5.8MPR7.95Proj wins#112SOSReach51.2%Win30.5%-0.52 Week 8 MPR
-8.7MPR8.98Proj wins#136SOSReach45.4%Win21.7%+0.69 Week 8 MPR
-11.2MPR8.35Proj wins#135SOSReach48.6%Win19.4%-0.49 Week 8 MPR
-12.4MPR7.24Proj wins#129SOSReach16.6%Win6.6%+0.25 Week 8 MPR
-12.5MPR5.68Proj wins#119SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.31 Week 8 MPR
-14.2MPR4.09Proj wins#120SOSReach2.5%Win0.9%-0.18 Week 8 MPR
-16.4MPR5.22Proj wins#131SOSReach0.5%Win0.2%+0.48 Week 8 MPR
-20.4MPR4.46Proj wins#102SOSReach0.3%Win<0.1%+1.08 Week 8 MPR
-21.6MPR2.37Proj wins#109SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.72 Week 8 MPR
-23.9MPR4.23Proj wins#108SOSReach0.2%Win<0.1%+1.13 Week 8 MPR
-26.9MPR5.16Proj wins#138SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.10 Week 8 MPR
-28.3MPR1.64Proj wins#134SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.65 Week 8 MPR
Snapshot: Standings and season outlook with results through October 25. Ratings after Week 8; published October 26 game forecasts retained. Method & sources →
MAC chances assume Sacramento State is eligible for the title game; league confirmation has not been established. Assumption & sensitivity →
Evidence In
Week 2 Evidence Archive
The cards below preserve the original Week 2 review. Their changes are historical; the current Move column above shows the Week 8 update.
Model UpdatedBowling Green
L 7–56 vs Nebraska
MPR -1.00 · Projected Wins -0.26
Model UpdatedSacramento StateL 3–49 vs Fresno State
MPR -0.75 · Projected Wins -0.19
Model UpdatedOhioW 29–27 vs Jacksonville State
MPR -0.25 · Projected Wins +0.54
No saved forecastAkronW 45–10 vs Robert Morris
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastBall StateW 41–17 vs Stony Brook
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastBuffaloL 20–33 vs Florida International
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastCentral MichiganW 13–10 vs Colgate
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastEastern MichiganL 7–35 vs Michigan State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastKent StateW 36–15 vs Wofford
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMassachusettsW 37–10 vs Sacred Heart
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMiami (OH)W 45–7 vs Holy Cross
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastToledoW 63–10 vs Central Connecticut State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastWestern MichiganW 49–14 vs Monmouth
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Week 9 conference games
Published October 26 forecasts with game results as they arrive.
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
Matrix 16–27 · Western Michigan 76.3%
Week 8 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Massachusetts at UConn
Final 16–35 · Original Matrix 15–36
Frozen forecast and grades →Western Michigan at Toledo
Final 38–45 · Original Matrix 23–21
Frozen forecast and grades →Akron at Kent State
Final 20–35 · Original Matrix 23–25
Frozen forecast and grades →Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Final 28–27 · Original Matrix 25–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Bowling Green at Buffalo
Final 24–31 · Original Matrix 19–23
Frozen forecast and grades →Sacramento State at Ball State
Final 17–34 · Original Matrix 23–28
Frozen forecast and grades →Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Final 20–24 · Original Matrix 17–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 7 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Ball State at Bowling Green
Final 32–31 · Original Matrix 14–31
Frozen forecast and grades →Massachusetts at Buffalo
Final 18–25 · Original Matrix 14–32
Frozen forecast and grades →Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Final 21–14 · Original Matrix 25–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Akron at Miami (OH)
Final 14–34 · Original Matrix 13–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Final 34–14 · Original Matrix 25–22
Frozen forecast and grades →Kent State at South Florida
Final 2–29 · Original Matrix 16–38
Frozen forecast and grades →Ohio at Sacramento State
Final 48–7 · Original Matrix 28–17
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 6 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Sacramento State at Bowling Green
Final 10–38 · Original Matrix 17–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Ball State at Northwestern
Final 14–45 · Original Matrix 4–43
Frozen forecast and grades →Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Final 20–19 · Original Matrix 34–12
Frozen forecast and grades →Buffalo at Toledo
Final 23–8 · Original Matrix 19–25
Frozen forecast and grades →Central Michigan at Ohio
Final 14–31 · Original Matrix 21–21
Frozen forecast and grades →Eastern Michigan at Akron
Final 25–23 · Original Matrix 25–22
Frozen forecast and grades →Kent State at Western Michigan
Final 7–38 · Original Matrix 16–32
Frozen forecast and grades →