Boston College at Duke
Matrix 24–33 · Duke 70.6%
Current MPR leaderMiami (FL)National #5 · MPR 24.5
Projected wins leaderMiami (FL)11.02 expected wins
Average MPR6.5Current neutral-field strength
MPR Top 251Teams ranked 1–25 nationally
Title favoriteMiami (FL)82.7% to win the title
Conference Headlines
Latest ACC news and movement.
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Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank follows current MPR. Records and title chances are with results through October 25.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle chancesWk MPR
24.5MPR11.02Proj wins#47SOSReach99.5%Win82.7%+0.58 Week 8 MPR
11.8MPR7.42Proj wins#42SOSReach10.9%Win2.2%+0.02 Week 8 MPR
11.3MPR8.90Proj wins#54SOSReach47.9%Win9.1%+1.53 Week 8 MPR
10.1MPR6.95Proj wins#37SOSReach0.8%Win0.1%-0.74 Week 8 MPR
9.7MPR8.12Proj wins#63SOSReach7.8%Win1.3%+0.51 Week 8 MPR
9.3MPR5.78Proj wins#29SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.13 Week 8 MPR
8.0MPR9.20Proj wins#68SOSReach31.9%Win4.4%-0.36 Week 8 MPR
6.2MPR7.10Proj wins#48SOSReach0.9%Win0.1%+0.08 Week 8 MPR
6.1MPR5.74Proj wins#67SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.10 Week 8 MPR
6.1MPR7.01Proj wins#56SOSReach0.2%Win<0.1%-0.48 Week 8 MPR
5.9MPR6.29Proj wins#33SOSReach0.1%Win<0.1%-1.01 Week 8 MPR
2.8MPR3.39Proj wins#28SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-1.06 Week 8 MPR
1.6MPR5.66Proj wins#62SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.82 Week 8 MPR
1.1MPR5.33Proj wins#25SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+1.25 Week 8 MPR
0.5MPR4.81Proj wins#57SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-1.08 Week 8 MPR
-0.4MPR4.31Proj wins#40SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.61 Week 8 MPR
Snapshot: Standings and season outlook with results through October 25. Ratings after Week 8; published October 26 game forecasts retained. Method & sources →
Evidence In
Week 2 Evidence Archive
The cards below preserve the original Week 2 review. Their changes are historical; the current Move column above shows the Week 8 update.
Model UpdatedClemson
W 22–7 vs Georgia Southern
MPR -0.75 · Projected Wins -0.14
Model UpdatedDukeW 31–27 vs Illinois
MPR +0.50 · Projected Wins +0.78
No saved forecastBoston CollegeW 28–21 vs Rutgers
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastCaliforniaW 21–18 vs Syracuse
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastFlorida StateWeek 2 bye
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastGeorgia TechL 24–45 vs Tennessee
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastLouisvilleW 59–13 vs Villanova
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMiami (FL)W 77–7 vs Florida A&M
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastNC StateW 73–0 vs Richmond
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastNorth CarolinaW 35–3 vs East Tennessee State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Model UpdatedPittsburghW 12–7 vs UCF
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.28
No saved forecastSMUW 56–10 vs UC Davis
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastStanfordWeek 2 bye
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastSyracuseL 18–21 vs California
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastVirginiaW 59–3 vs Norfolk State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastVirginia TechW 44–21 vs Old Dominion
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Model UpdatedWake ForestW 38–36 vs Purdue
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.37
Week 9 conference games
Published October 26 forecasts with game results as they arrive.
California at NC State
Matrix 25–32 · NC State 68.3%
SMU at Syracuse
Matrix 30–21 · SMU 73.0%
Stanford at Louisville
Matrix 15–34 · Louisville 90.4%
Virginia at Wake Forest
Matrix 19–27 · Wake Forest 69.6%
Clemson at Florida State
Matrix 23–25 · Florida State 55.0%
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Matrix 24–30 · Pittsburgh 64.9%
Miami (FL) at North Carolina
Matrix 32–15 · Miami (FL) 87.5%
Week 8 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Duke at Virginia
Final 19–16 · Original Matrix 27–26
Frozen forecast and grades →NC State at Stanford
Final 28–31 · Original Matrix 31–21
Frozen forecast and grades →California at SMU
Final 20–59 · Original Matrix 22–33
Frozen forecast and grades →Pittsburgh at Miami (FL)
Final 23–52 · Original Matrix 16–36
Frozen forecast and grades →Boston College at Georgia Tech
Final 49–27 · Original Matrix 23–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Virginia Tech at Clemson
Final 20–16 · Original Matrix 22–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Syracuse at North Carolina
Final 31–30 · Original Matrix 19–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 7 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Charleston Southern at Clemson
Final 0–37 · Original Matrix 6–42
Frozen forecast and grades →Pittsburgh at Boston College
Final 21–27 · Original Matrix 30–24
Frozen forecast and grades →Virginia at SMU
Final 13–23 · Original Matrix 20–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Final 24–34 · Original Matrix 23–31
Frozen forecast and grades →North Carolina at Duke
Final 24–20 · Original Matrix 24–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Florida State at Miami (FL)
Final 35–43 · Original Matrix 15–35
Frozen forecast and grades →Elon at Stanford
Final 7–34 · Original Matrix 21–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Louisville at Syracuse
Final 34–26 · Original Matrix 30–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Wake Forest at California
Final 41–7 · Original Matrix 26–25
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 6 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Florida State at Louisville
Final 20–44 · Original Matrix 24–27
Frozen forecast and grades →North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Final 21–17 · Original Matrix 21–28
Frozen forecast and grades →Wake Forest at NC State
Final 38–14 · Original Matrix 24–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Duke at Georgia Tech
Final 25–28 · Original Matrix 29–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Stanford at Notre Dame
Final 7–58 · Original Matrix 8–43
Frozen forecast and grades →Virginia Tech at California
Final 20–25 · Original Matrix 30–25
Frozen forecast and grades →Syracuse at Virginia
Final 25–28 · Original Matrix 20–27
Frozen forecast and grades →