FavoriteUNLV 56%
Projected Total58.6
Current MPR LeaderNorth Dakota StateNational #61 · MPR 1.8
Projected Wins LeaderNorth Dakota State9.29 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR-7.910-team current average
National Top 250By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews42 cleared update gate
Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Title probabilities are preseason references.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle Game*Move
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank and projected wins reflect the current approved Week 1 team state. Title-game and conference-champion probabilities remain the certified preseason simulation.
Evidence In
Week 0 Matrix Moves
Every Mountain West team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.
Model Updated
UNLV
Lost to Memphis 21-27
MPR -2.0 · Projected Wins -1.16
Model Updated
North Dakota State
Beat Jacksonville State 33-7
MPR +2.5 · Projected Wins +0.82
Model Held
Hawaii
Lost at Stanford 27-37
MPR 0.0 · Projected Wins 0.00
Model Held
San Jose State
Lost at USC 26-42
MPR 0.0 · Projected Wins 0.00
Week 1 Locked
Mountain West Games on the Board
Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a Mountain West team.
FavoriteOklahoma 100%
Projected Total47.4
FavoriteColorado State 59%
Projected Total42.3
FavoriteNew Mexico 79%
Projected Total49.0
FavoriteWestern Kentucky 62%
Projected Total51.9
FavoriteIowa 99%
Projected Total45.5
FavoriteEastern Michigan 60%
Projected Total51.5
FavoriteAir Force 92%
Projected Total52.5
FavoriteNorth Dakota State 94%
Projected Total50.9