Auburn at Ole Miss
Matrix 22–31 · Ole Miss 72.0%
Current MPR leaderGeorgiaNational #3 · MPR 27.3
Projected wins leaderGeorgia10.03 expected wins
Average MPR15.2Current neutral-field strength
MPR Top 2511Teams ranked 1–25 nationally
Title favoriteGeorgia53.5% to win the title
Conference Headlines
Latest SEC news and movement.
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Current Strength
Team-by-Team Outlook
Conference rank follows current MPR. Records and title chances are with results through October 25.
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSTitle chancesWk MPR
27.3MPR10.03Proj wins#21SOSReach74.5%Win53.5%-0.10 Week 8 MPR
23.7MPR8.75Proj wins#7SOSReach23.2%Win11.9%+1.06 Week 8 MPR
23.3MPR8.45Proj wins#1SOSReach11.9%Win5.8%+0.07 Week 8 MPR
20.9MPR8.99Proj wins#5SOSReach23.7%Win10.1%+0.32 Week 8 MPR
18.9MPR6.16Proj wins#15SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.44 Week 8 MPR
18.6MPR8.37Proj wins#18SOSReach12.4%Win5.1%-0.04 Week 8 MPR
17.5MPR8.22Proj wins#12SOSReach7.2%Win2.4%-0.73 Week 8 MPR
15.8MPR6.61Proj wins#3SOSReach7.1%Win2.3%+0.12 Week 8 MPR
15.6MPR7.86Proj wins#6SOSReach13.4%Win4.4%-0.14 Week 8 MPR
13.8MPR7.34Proj wins#16SOSReach3.4%Win1.0%+0.01 Week 8 MPR
12.4MPR6.13Proj wins#9SOSReach0.3%Win0.1%+0.59 Week 8 MPR
11.1MPR6.78Proj wins#11SOSReach0.2%Win<0.1%-1.10 Week 8 MPR
8.7MPR8.46Proj wins#4SOSReach22.7%Win3.4%+0.81 Week 8 MPR
5.8MPR6.17Proj wins#13SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%+0.02 Week 8 MPR
5.2MPR4.12Proj wins#2SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.20 Week 8 MPR
5.2MPR4.03Proj wins#17SOSReach<0.1%Win<0.1%-0.71 Week 8 MPR
Snapshot: Standings and season outlook with results through October 25. Ratings after Week 8; published October 26 game forecasts retained. Method & sources →
Evidence In
Week 2 Evidence Archive
The cards below preserve the original Week 2 review. Their changes are historical; the current Move column above shows the Week 8 update.
No Week 0 games: no teams in this group entered the Week 0 model-review gate. This historical team state reflects the Week 2.1 reviewed ratings.
Model UpdatedMississippi State
W 38–13 vs Minnesota
MPR +2.25 · Projected Wins +0.98
Model UpdatedArkansasL 10–43 vs Utah
MPR -1.50 · Projected Wins -0.51
Model UpdatedAlabamaW 45–17 vs Kentucky
MPR +1.25 · Projected Wins +0.43
Model UpdatedGeorgiaW 70–20 vs Western Kentucky
MPR +0.75 · Projected Wins +0.12
Model UpdatedTexasW 24–23 vs Ohio State
MPR +0.75 · Projected Wins +0.78
Model UpdatedKentuckyL 17–45 vs Alabama
MPR -0.25 · Projected Wins -0.27
Model UpdatedVanderbiltW 35–26 vs Delaware
MPR -0.25 · Projected Wins -0.06
No saved forecastAuburnW 43–8 vs Southern Miss
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastFloridaW 52–3 vs Campbell
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastLSUW 45–14 vs Louisiana Tech
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastMissouriW 38–21 vs Kansas
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastOklahomaL 10–17 vs Michigan
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastOle MissW 41–9 vs Charlotte
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastSouth CarolinaW 45–9 vs Towson
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastTennesseeW 45–24 vs Georgia Tech
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
No saved forecastTexas A&MW 48–20 vs Arizona State
MPR +0.00 · Projected Wins +0.00
Week 9 conference games
Published October 26 forecasts with game results as they arrive.
Florida at Georgia
Matrix 20–30 · Georgia 75.7%
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Matrix 21–26 · Oklahoma 65.1%
Mississippi State at Texas
Matrix 17–38 · Texas 91.3%
Missouri at Arkansas
Matrix 32–25 · Missouri 68.8%
Week 8 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
LSU at Auburn
Final 38–17 · Original Matrix 27–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Final 23–15 · Original Matrix 30–22
Frozen forecast and grades →Tennessee at South Carolina
Final 24–27 · Original Matrix 29–26
Frozen forecast and grades →Texas A&M at Alabama
Final 20–31 · Original Matrix 22–27
Frozen forecast and grades →Ole Miss at Texas
Final 27–34 · Original Matrix 23–31
Frozen forecast and grades →Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Final 17–34 · Original Matrix 24–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 7 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Florida at Texas
Final 27–24 · Original Matrix 19–30
Frozen forecast and grades →Mississippi State at LSU
Final 0–31 · Original Matrix 18–35
Frozen forecast and grades →The Citadel at Texas A&M
Final 0–41 · Original Matrix 6–47
Frozen forecast and grades →Alabama at Tennessee
Final 10–26 · Original Matrix 29–24
Frozen forecast and grades →Auburn at Georgia
Final 27–24 · Original Matrix 15–34
Frozen forecast and grades →Missouri at Ole Miss
Final 3–31 · Original Matrix 25–28
Frozen forecast and grades →Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Final 31–21 · Original Matrix 27–33
Frozen forecast and grades →Kentucky at Oklahoma
Final 21–13 · Original Matrix 17–29
Frozen forecast and grades →Week 6 Results Archive
Finals and original projections
Texas A&M at Missouri
Final 6–27 · Original Matrix 28–24
Frozen forecast and grades →South Carolina at Florida
Final 38–19 · Original Matrix 20–28
Frozen forecast and grades →Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Final 52–17 · Original Matrix 32–26
Frozen forecast and grades →Texas at Oklahoma
Final 24–27 · Original Matrix 28–20
Frozen forecast and grades →Tennessee at Arkansas
Final 24–17 · Original Matrix 38–25
Frozen forecast and grades →LSU at Kentucky
Final 34–35 · Original Matrix 30–16
Frozen forecast and grades →Georgia at Alabama
Final 20–17 · Original Matrix 25–23
Frozen forecast and grades →