2026 MATRIXWeek 1 Locked138 FBS Teams91 GamesUpdated Sep 4, 2026Model + Market + Context
GameDay Matrix
Conference Intelligence · Independent

Independent Matrix

Current strength, projected path, Week 0 movement and the Week 1 board for FBS independent programs.

2 Teams1 MPR Top 252 Week 1 Games0 Certified Week 0 Moves
Current MPR LeaderNotre DameNational #3 · MPR 26.8
Projected Wins LeaderNotre Dame10.89 expected wins
Conference Avg MPR8.12-team current average
National Top 251By current MPR rank
Week 0 Reviews00 cleared update gate
Current Strength

Team-by-Team Outlook

Conference rank is based on current MPR. Projected Wins and SOS describe the path. Conference-title probability does not apply to independent programs.

2 Independent teams
RankTeamMPRProj WinsSOSConference TitleMove
#1 Notre DameNational #3 · 0-0 26.8MPR 10.89Proj Wins #60SOS N/A
#2 UConnNational #107 · 0-0 -10.7MPR 5.12Proj Wins #93SOS N/A
Data-vintage rule: MPR, national rank, projected wins, Week 0 movement and Week 1 projections reflect the current approved Week 1 state. Conference-title probabilities do not apply to independent programs.
Evidence In

Week 0 Matrix Moves

Every Independent team that played in Week 0 is shown, including results reviewed without a strength adjustment.

No Week 0 games: no teams in this group entered the Week 0 model-review gate. Current team state remains the approved Week 1 baseline.
Week 1 Locked

Independent Games on the Board

Current locked Week 1 GameDay Matrix projections for every game involving a Independent team.

SAT, SEP 5Low
Lafayette
23–29
FavoriteUConn 65%
Projected Total52.3
← All Conferences