2026 MATRIXWEEK 1138 FBS TEAMS91 GAMESCOLLEGE FOOTBALL DECODEDMODEL + MARKET + CONTEXT
GameDay Matrix
Matrix Wire / QB & Personnel
Availability Desk

The Week 1 personnel board is not one-size-fits-all.

HOLD, WATCH and ELIGIBLE mean different things. The Matrix keeps those states separate so uncertainty does not become fake precision.

Tracked Cases5
True Hold1
Watch Only1
Already in MPR1

Notre Dame: true hold

8 players OUT; K. Viliamu-Asa questionable; Ashton Craig starting at C. The game stays on a personnel hold because the availability picture is material enough that a clean edge should not be promoted before the game-value adjustment is approved.

Hawaii: watch only

Questionable for Sept. 5. The unresolved receiving situation stays a game-level watch rather than a permanent MPR change.

New Mexico: already absorbed

Out for season. That information has already been converted into the current strength baseline, so the Week 1 projection does not add a second penalty.

SMU: blocker cleared

Back in fold after finger injury; expected available. The availability blocker is removed, allowing the existing projection to stand without an injury modifier.